Bert Baumgaertner

Bert Baumgaertner

Professor of Philosophy, University of Idaho Modeling Core Co-Director, Institute for Modeling Collaboration & Innovation Co-Founder, AI Ethics and Inquiry Outfit

About

I am a Professor of Philosophy at the University of Idaho. My work is situated at the intersections of cognitive science, philosophy, complex systems, and computational modeling. I am particularly interested in how scientists use diverse modeling techniques to understand the impacts of determinants of belief formation on complex biological and social phenomena.

My research explores questions about standards of evidence and their connections to opinion dynamics. I often use agent-based models and network theory as methodological tools, as well as survey studies. I am highly collaborative and interdisciplinary; my preference is to focus on questions that interest me rather than worry about disciplinary boundaries.

More recently, my work has expanded into analogy, metaphor, and narrative as windows into human cognition and AI limitations. The MARC project (Metaphor Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus) uses community-created puzzles to probe what humans can do that AI systems cannot, and doubles as a tool for teaching AI literacy and ethics. Its sibling, NARC (Narrative Augmented Reasoning Challenges), asks how stories transform visual reasoning — whether for humans or for machines. I have also been investigating standards of evidence across political and scientific domains, and the philosophical and ethical dimensions of large language models and generative AI.

Recent

Nov 2026 Upcoming: two AI sessions at the NCURA regional meeting in Denver, and a poster at the Philosophy of Science Association meeting in San Diego.
Oct 2026 New on Substack: “Narratives are all you need”.
Sep 2026 The first NARC paper, “Only the Story Completes the Grid,” is under review at ICLR 2027.
Aug 2026 Invited talk at the University of Edinburgh’s Mini Symposium on AI in Science. Our ICPR 2026 workshop paper on metaphor processing in language models was presented in Lyon and is now published.
Jun 2026 Participant in the NEH Summer Institute “Self-Knowledge for Humans and Artificial Systems” at UC Berkeley.
Spring 2026 Released the Good Thinking Corpus and MARC2 datasets on Hugging Face, with Zenodo DOIs.

Research Areas

Opinion Dynamics & Social Epistemology

Modeling how beliefs form and spread through populations. Work on the preference for belief, echo chambers, reflective equilibrium, and how network structure shapes collective knowledge production.

Disease-Behavior Models

Computational models linking behavioral responses to epidemic dynamics. Research on risk tolerance, vaccination attitudes, and how transient prophylaxis drives epidemic waves.

Standards of Evidence

Investigating how individuals assess and gather evidence across scientific and political domains, including the effects of ideology and cognitive reflection on evidence-seeking behavior.

Analogy, Metaphor, Narrative & AI Benchmarking

The MARC project explores how metaphorical reasoning reveals fundamental gaps between human and artificial intelligence. Its sibling, NARC, investigates how narrative reorganizes visual reasoning by pairing abstract grid sequences with short stories that disambiguate them. Together they connect philosophy of language, cognitive science, narratology, and AI evaluation.

AI Literacy & Ethics

Building frameworks and tools for understanding generative AI, including its limits, biases, and societal impacts. Developing pedagogical approaches that make AI literacy accessible to non-technical audiences.

MARC: Metaphor Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus

MARC extends François Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) by pairing visual grid-based puzzles with metaphorical natural language hints. The core insight: humans can leverage metaphors to solve novel puzzles with remarkable ease, while AI systems struggle—exposing a fundamental gap in machine intelligence around fluid reasoning, perspective-shifting, and genuine understanding.

What MARC enables

Research. MARC provides a platform for studying how metaphorical reasoning works in humans and where it breaks down in AI. Each puzzle probes intentionality, agency, and the capacity for analogical thinking—capacities that remain beyond current AI systems.

AI Literacy & Ethics. Because anyone can create a MARC puzzle, it democratizes AI benchmarking. Students and non-specialists can directly engage with the question of what makes human intelligence distinctive, without needing technical training. The project serves as a teaching tool for critical thinking about AI capabilities and limitations.

Community. MARC puzzles are community-created and community-driven. Campus competitions and open submission foster broad participation across disciplines.

NARC: Narrative Augmented Reasoning Challenges

NARC is a sibling project to MARC. Where MARC pairs visual puzzles with metaphorical hints, NARC pairs sequences of colored grids with short narratives. One or more grids in the sequence are hidden, and the goal is to reconstruct them pixel-perfectly. The grids alone are ambiguous — multiple completions look plausible. The narrative alone underdetermines the answer too. Only together do they pick out a unique solution.

I call this the NARC property: neither modality suffices, but their combination does. It offers a tractable setting for asking how narrative reorganizes perception and inference — and where humans and AI systems diverge in their ability to use a story to see what would otherwise be invisible.

What NARC enables

Research. NARC is designed to isolate the contribution of narrative to visual reasoning. The corpus draws on Erin James's Story Prism — a decomposition of narratives into Teller & Told, World, Events, Actors, and How It Feels — so puzzles can be tagged and varied along specific narrative facets. This makes it possible to ask which facets carry the disambiguating work, and to compare humans and AI systems facet by facet.

Connections. NARC sits at the intersection of ARC-AGI, econarratology, and AI evaluation. Puzzles span literary classics (Hemingway, Kafka, Shelley), scientific concepts (natural selection, entropy, plate tectonics), and philosophical thought experiments (the trolley problem, Plato's cave). The site reports one measured difficulty signal: on how many tested models a puzzle has the NARC property.

Corpus. 320 active puzzles with 976 narrative variants, 3–8 grids per puzzle, tested on 12 language models with masking, order, and keyword ablations. A separate set, NARC-tiny, holds 200 puzzles generated from TinyStories by the Narrative Hierarchy Model, a grammar in which every event rewrites into both a sentence and a grid transition. The corpus is browseable, solvable, and inspectable online, and anyone can try the puzzles.

Paper. “Only the Story Completes the Grid: Hand-Authored and Grammar-Generated Puzzles for Narrative Augmented Reasoning” is under review at ICLR 2027.

Selected Presentations

Most recent first.

"Measures of Intelligence We Live By: Metaphor, Representation, and Public AI Literacy" (poster)Peer-reviewedUpcoming
Philosophy of Science Association 30th Biennial Meeting, San Diego, CA, November 19–22, 2026
"Your Risk-Averse Mindset Needed: Responsibly Navigating the AI Adoption Rodeo"Upcoming
With Nathan Wiggins. NCURA Region VI/VII Regional Meeting (RM26), Denver, CO, November 11, 2026
"Thinking Well with AI," in the workshop "Augmenting Research Administration with AI"Upcoming
With Nathan Layman. NCURA Region VI/VII Regional Meeting (RM26), Denver, CO, November 8, 2026
"Generative AI in Research and Academia: Ethical Considerations and Practical Applications"Invited
Postdoc Appreciation Week, University of Idaho, September 24, 2026
"How AI Spotlights Science's Narrative Blind Spot"Invited
Mini Symposium on AI in Science, School of Philosophy, Psychology and Language Sciences, University of Edinburgh, August 26, 2026
"Post-Hoc Understanding of Metaphor Processing in Decoder-Only Language Models via Conditional Scale Entropy"Peer-reviewed
With L. Chakrabarti, J. Johnson-Leung, A. Vakanski, M. Xian, B. Zhang. 4th Workshop on Explainable and Ethical AI, ICPR 2026, Lyon, France, August 17–20, 2026
"Is a Self a Prerequisite for Solving Puzzles in the Narrative Augmented Reasoning Corpus?"
NEH Summer Institute on Self-Knowledge for Humans and Artificial Systems, University of California, Berkeley, June 25, 2026
"Was the Gettier Problem Inevitable? Language Models as Instruments for Complementary Inquiry"Invited
Boise State University, Department of Philosophy, April 25, 2026
"New Trails, Old Coastline: Humanities Takeover in the Era of Agentic AI"Invited
Boise State University, Department of Philosophy (general audience), April 24, 2026
AI and the Arts (panelist)Invited
Lionel Hampton School of Music, University of Idaho, April 14, 2026
"Metaphor in the Machine: From Source to Target Domains without Dogmas about Conceptual Structure"Invited
Pacific American Philosophy Association, April 12, 2026
"Creating a Network of Interdisciplinary Human-AI Collaborators"Invited
Innovate Idaho 2026: AI and Open Education Symposium, April 10, 2026 — Abstract
"The Dark Room and the Ruthless Curiosity it Demands: Graduate Research in the Age of Agentic AI"Invited
ENVS 5010 Seminar Series, College of Natural Resources, University of Idaho, March 23, 2026
"A Formal Framework for How Inferential Commitments Create Deep Disagreements"
Computational Social Philosophy Seminars, March 23, 2026
"Metaphors We Intend With: Teaching AI Alignment Through Puzzles"Peer-reviewed
AI and Data Ethics: Philosophy and Pedagogy, University of Southern California, March 6–7, 2026
"The Grasshopper's Utopia: AI, Games, and the Future You're Playing Into"Invited
Vandal Gaming Convention, University of Idaho, February 28, 2026
"Bots as Foils: Real Students Learn by Teaching AI Students"Peer-reviewed
University of Idaho Student Success Symposium: Ignite and Elevate, February 27, 2026
"How Will Our Ability to Access PhD++ Expertise at $20 a Month Impact 'Modeling Collaboration and Innovation'?"
IMCI Brown Bag Lunch Series, February 23, 2026
"MARC Your Human Intelligence"Invited
University of Idaho POP Talks, October 2025 — Watch video
"EASY for Humans, HARD for AI: Metaphor Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus"Invited
Malcolm Renfrew Interdisciplinary Colloquium, University of Idaho, September 2, 2025
"Chatbots and Misinformation: The Semantic Turn, for Better and Worse"Invited
IMCI Brown Bag Lunch Series, University of Idaho, January 13, 2025
"AI Literacy — What Is and Isn't Working"Invited
Institute for Interdisciplinary Data Sciences — AI Literacy Series, University of Idaho, November 7, 2024
"AI Literacy for Everyone Who Learns and Inquires"Invited
The Renfrew Colloquium (joint with Casey Johnson), University of Idaho, October 22, 2024
"Standards of Evidence: Disease Dynamics and Human Evidence Gathering"
University of Idaho, October 1, 2024 (non-presenting co-author)
"LLMs, Bias and Ethical Dilemmas"Invited
Joint lecture with Casey Johnson in Boyu Zhang's graduate NLP course, April 29, 2024
"AI Literacy — A Discussion Spark in Using AI in Critical Thinking"Invited
Generative AI in Higher Education in Idaho, April 19, 2024
"Humanities Takeover: Values and the Work Towards AI Literacy"Invited
Institute for Interdisciplinary Data Sciences Seminar Series, April 18, 2024

Selected Publications

For a complete list, see my CV or Google Scholar.

Preprints & Under Review

Only the Story Completes the Grid: Hand-Authored and Grammar-Generated Puzzles for Narrative Augmented Reasoning
Baumgaertner, B. Under review, ICLR 2027.
NARC website
Ethical Implications of Training Deceptive AI
Starace, J., Baumgaertner, B., Soule, T. (2026). arXiv:2604.03250.
View preprint
Density Dependence Affects Population Recovery Following an Epidemic
Antia, R., Baumgaertner, B., Bull, J.J. (2025). bioRxiv.
View preprint

Refereed

Post-Hoc Understanding of Metaphor Processing in Decoder-Only Language Models via Conditional Scale Entropy
Chakrabarti, L., Johnson-Leung, J., Baumgaertner, B., Vakanski, A., Xian, M., Zhang, B. (2026). In: Pattern Recognition. ICPR 2026 International Workshops, LNCS, 524–539.
View publication
Signs of Intelligence: Trust in Generative Artificial Intelligence for Conservation Messaging
Snow, J., Zajchowski, C.A.B., Karl, J., Baumgaertner, B. (2026). Parks Stewardship Forum 42(3).
View publication
Patterns between Evidence Seeking Behaviors, Reasoning, and Cognitive Reflection: A Supervised Clustering Approach
Tovissode, C.F., Justwan, F., Baumgaertner, B. (2026). PLoS ONE 21(6): e0352096.
View publication
Evaluating Evidentiary Standards in the Realm of Citizen Policy Evaluation
Justwan, F., Baumgaertner, B., McBrayer, M., Bindley, J.*, Benitez, A.*, Haile, K.*, Kludt-Painter, B.* (2026). Social Science Quarterly.
View publication
The Causes and Consequences of Public Misperceptions about the Origins of the Russo-Ukrainian War
Justwan, F., Berejikian, J.D., Baumgaertner, B. (2026). International Political Science Review.
View publication
The Effects of Ideology and Cognitive Reflection on Evidence Gathering Behavior in the Political Domain
Justwan, F., Baumgaertner, B. (2025). PLoS ONE 20(12): e0338088.
View publication
Heterogeneous Risk Tolerance, In-groups and Epidemic Waves
Tovissode, C., Baumgaertner, B. (2024). Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics.
View publication
Search is a Hammer, Generative Chat is a Loom; Beware the Technological Attribution Error
Baumgaertner, B., duBois, Z. (2024). In: Social Computing and Social Media. HCII 2024.
View publication
Precedent and Rest Stop Convergence in Reflective Equilibrium
Baumgaertner, B., Lassiter, C. (2024). Synthese.
View publication
Convergence and Shared Reflective Equilibrium
Baumgaertner, B., & Lassiter, C. (2023). Ergo.
View publication
The Logical Structure of Experiments Lays the Foundation for a Theory of Reproducibility
Buzbas, E.O., Devezer, B., Baumgaertner, B. (2023). Royal Society Open Science.
View publication
The Preference for Belief, Issue Polarization, and Echo Chambers
Baumgaertner, B., Justwan, F. (2022). Synthese.
View publication
Meddling in the 2016 Elections and Satisfaction with Democracy in the US
Justwan, F., Baumgaertner, B., Curtright, M.* (2022). Political Studies.
View publication
Transient Prophylaxis and Multiple Epidemic Waves
Tyson, R.C., Marshall, N.M.*, Baumgaertner, B. (2022). AIMS Mathematics.
View publication
The Effects of COVID-19 on Political Efficacy
McBrayer, M., Baumgaertner, B., Justwan, F. (2022). American Politics Research.
View publication
Risk of Disease and Willingness to Vaccinate in the United States: A Population-Based Survey
Baumgaertner, B., Ridenhour, B.J., Justwan, F., Carlisle, J.E., Miller, C.R. (2020). PLOS Medicine.
View publication
Voter Models and External Influence
Majmudar, J.R., Krone, S.M., Baumgaertner, B.O., Tyson, R.C. (2020). The Journal of Mathematical Sociology.
View publication
The Timing and Nature of Behavioural Responses Affect the Course of an Epidemic
Tyson, R., Baumgaertner, B., Hamilton, S.*, Lo, A., Krone, S. (2020). Bulletin of Mathematical Biology.
View publication
The Effect of Trust and Proximity on Vaccine Propensity
Justwan, F., Baumgaertner, B., Carlisle, J.E., Carson, E.*, Kizer, J.* (2019). PLoS ONE.
View publication
Scientific Discovery in a Model-Centric Framework: Reproducibility, Innovation, and Epistemic Diversity
Devezer, B., Nardin, L.G., Baumgaertner, B., Buzbas, E. (2019). PLoS ONE.
View publication
Spatial Opinion Dynamics and the Effects of Two Types of Mixing
Baumgaertner, B., Fetros, P.*, Tyson, R., Krone, S. (2018). Physical Review E.
View publication

Data & Code

Public datasets and software from my projects. More on GitHub and Hugging Face.

Datasets

Good Thinking Corpus
Baumgaertner, B., Potter, N.A. (2026). 27,252 training records with a 182-code taxonomy for critical thinking, logic, decision theory, and game theory education. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19324917
Hugging Face   Zenodo   Code
MARC2: Metaphor Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus v2
Baumgaertner, B. (2026). Figurative-language puzzles built from ARC-AGI-2 (16,711 rows). DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.19241782
Hugging Face   Zenodo   Code
MARC: Metaphor Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus
Baumgaertner, B. (2026). 78 puzzles with 1,230 figurative descriptions and LLM behavioral trial data.
Hugging Face
NARC: Narrative Augmented Reasoning Challenges
Baumgaertner, B. (2026). Hand-authored grid-and-story puzzles with model trials and ablations, plus the generated NARC-tiny set. Browse, solve, and inspect online.
Website   Code
CX-Bot: Philosophical Counterexamples
Baumgaertner, B. (2026). 4,474 counterexamples to definitions across 16 philosophical domains, for training language models to recognize and generate counterexamples.
GitHub

Software

Pluto-Toy: Can You Trust What a Tiny Model Tells You?
A small machine-learning experiment for philosophers: did Pluto's reclassification have to happen? A 50K-parameter transformer with three probes that runs on Colab in about five minutes.
Website   GitHub
/planandlearn: Modeling Judgment with Agentic AI
A Claude Code skill that helps students and postdocs build computational modeling judgment while an AI agent does much of the hands-on building.
GitHub
MARC-from-LARC
Automated generation and verification pipeline for metaphor-based reasoning puzzles with domain-diverse figurative clues.
GitHub
Code Names
AI vs. AI Codenames tournament engine: language models and embedding agents play Codenames, rated by Elo.
GitHub

Teaching

Regular Undergraduate Courses

  • PHIL 2010: Critical Thinking
  • PHIL 2020: Introduction to Symbolic Logic
  • Rotating: Decision Theory, Phil Language, Theory of Knowledge, Metaphysics

Seminars & Special Topics

  • PHIL 361: Professional Ethics — Generative AI
  • PHIL 4040: Rational Choice and Strategic Interactions

Teaching Tools

Course materials and syllabi are available for current students on the university's learning management system. Prospective students interested in course content can contact me directly via email.